Six months ago I predicted six events to watch in corporate compliance for 2015. With the year half over—and in the interests of holding people accountable, including yours truly—now seems a good time to revisit those predictions and see how the year has been unfolding so far.

The risk of political risk. I’ll be honest: when I talked in January about political risks translating into business risks much more quickly, Russia and Ukraine were the countries I had in mind. Greece was not. Yet six months later, Greece seems to be the spark that could ignite all manner of financial risk across Europe.